Market MATH & Watchlist: 29-June-2025

Hard-Easy Money| Bias: Trust the Uptrend but we may base around the highs

Sakatas Homma

Jun 28, 2025

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MATH: Momentum Anticipation and Trend by Homma:

MATH last week: Click the link

The most comprehensive article on Breadth and Anticipation:

The Pivot

The 3 bulls framework for situational awareness

"Your first problem is to find a setup. Your second problem is to understand when that setup does and doesn’t work." ~ Pradeep Bonde…

a year ago · 21 likes · 2 comments · Nitin R

As technical traders, we

“Anticipate, but confirm. Wish, but only react.”

Trend:

Short-term: “Percentage of stocks above 10/20-DMA”

Medium-term: “Percentage of stocks above 50-DMA”

Long-term: “Percentage of stocks above 200-DMA”

In the short term, trending up.

In the medium term, also trending up.

In the long term, also trending up.

Momentum:

Homma Mswing Score: (basal Momentum)

Mswing score after pulling back for the last 2 weeks, also finds a low (second bottom) and is stabilizing.

This is a positive action.

Landry Daily: (hard Momentum. Momentum Bias for Swing Play)

Hard momentum stabilized and found a higher low.

This is a positive action.

Landry Weekly (Momentum Bias for Positional Play):

Landry momentum weekly after coming under pressure last week is back trending Up.

This is a positive action.

Net4% Movers:

Stayed Up after bouncing back above 0 last week.

Mildly bullish on an average the whole week.

N50:

Breaks out eventually of a base with a small positive slope.

I call these breakouts, BOB (Bullish on Bullish) Breakouts. Please read the explainer article for a detailed read.

It looks poised to challenge the ATH.

Anticipation:

Nifty Midsmall400 currently sits a DTL resistance which I believe is also the significant resistance of the O’ Neil base.

2 possibilities outlined would both be good for the markets.

a) We breakout and then pullback to retest the breakout one.

b) We make an elaborate base, put 2nd and 3rd contraction before eventually breaking out.

A violent rejection of the supply zone although has a non-zero probability, but for now we do not have any signal that this might be a high probability.

And since, we are still trending above the key MAs, the bias is of a that of the uptrend to continue.

Positional bias = Hard-Easy money transition

Lots of Big Base Breakouts (and IPO base Breakouts)

Last Friday on HPA Weekly, I discussed this set up. Why in my opinion this is the best set up for a positional trader and what is the complete system to trade this. Watch here.