MATH: Momentum Anticipation and Trend by Homma:
MATH last week: Click the link
The most comprehensive article on Breadth and Anticipation:
As technical traders, we
“Anticipate, but confirm. Wish, but only react.”
Short-term: “Percentage of stocks above 10/20-DMA”
Medium-term: “Percentage of stocks above 50-DMA”
Long-term: “Percentage of stocks above 200-DMA”
In the short term, we are under pressure.
In the medium term also, we are under pressure.
In the long term, we are under pressure.
Momentum:
Homma Mswing Score: (basal Momentum)
Mswing score pulling back since the beginning of last week.
Landry Daily: (Momentum Bias for Swing Play)
Also showing under-pressure after a fantastic run
Landry Weekly (Momentum Bias for Positional Play):
Landry momentum weekly is 5th week up in a row.
Positionally we are still fine.
Net4% Movers:
Had a brief negative dip. Now back around the 0 line.
N50:
basing.
At the base support.
Bias of 50DMA to act as support.
Anticipation:
Nifty Midsmall400 gapped down to open at the 21-ema and put a bullish candle.
What can unfold next?
First things first,
There were derisking signals early in the week from both daily as well as intraday breadth. Swing trader would have derisked around there.
Now that the 21-ema has supported the index, the bias is of that of a trend continuation.
Although, it might not come immediately.
I anticipate a base building between the swing high and Friday low.
Remember, the key thing is to trust the uptrend as long as we are trending above the key MAs and the breadth is bullish.
Positional bias = Hard-Easy money transition
PS: Anticipations are often wrong, and biases should be adjusted after every candle.
If you dont know this already, I update my Market MATH every day on my website under the BREADTH section. Please check in every day post-market.
Group Strength:
Sectoral:
Defence and Financial services pullback.
Oil drilling & Telecom had a good week.
Index:
Nifty IT breaking out of the iH&S base.
Nifty Healthcare and Pharma also trying to break out.
Realty and Smallcap still the strongest
Watchlists:
Follow the Strongest Stocks (the RS 100 and RS 100 Liquid watchlists below):
Find Tightness candidates from Tandem Inside bars and Tandem Low ranges.
https://www.sakatashomma.com/scanners
PS: Still many strong groups around: Energy-power, Defence, OEM, Financial, Realty.
Find my Actionable list for the week below.
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